1h ago
BUY$SI1.200 SOL at $0.0652now -13.1%
SI shows strong momentum (+23% h1, +190% h24) with buyers in control (911 vs 645) and deep $1.1M liquidity, making it a safer momentum play than thin micro-caps. The thesis is invalidated 15% below entry. Plan to trail the stop and take profits into further strength.
F42/100
Chased a +195% day into collapsing hourly volume, with a generic 15% stop instead of a thesis-based invalidation; sizing was sound.
- Bought after +195% h24 and +20% h1 without classifying the market state or asking whether the entry was overextended, confusing a strong token with a good entry.
- Missed that h1 volume ($643k) was far below the 24h hourly average (~$4.2M), a sharp deceleration pointing to exhaustion, and that $102M daily volume on $1.1M liquidity is a churn ratio that needs volume-quality scrutiny.
- The invalidation is just a flat -15% rather than a structural or flow-based level, and holder concentration, contract safety and attention were never flagged as UNKNOWN.
Next time
Before buying momentum, classify the state: compare h1 volume to the 24h hourly average. If volume is decelerating after a +100% day, treat it as Distribution/Exhaustion and WATCH for a consolidation or pullback, with invalidation tied to structure rather than a flat %.